It is difficult to predict stock prices due to volatile financial markets and various economic factors. However, useful effective predictive techniques can offer great assistance to analysts and investors, and therefore much research keeps being conducted in this area. This study analyzed the predictive capabilities of two popular deep learning methods: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), based on a historical stock price dataset. This study conducted experiments through the daily stock prices of Google and a larger dataset that covered multiple international companies. It also evaluated the rigorousness of LSTM and MLP under many conditions, such as different fluctuation mechanisms, high and low price levels, and datasets of varying scales. The study found that the prediction accuracy of both LSTM and MLP was satisfactory. However, during stable and low-fluctuation periods, LSTM achieved better performance than MLP, but on smaller datasets, MLP showed stronger generalization capabilities. Therefore, to improve predictive capabilities, which model to use should be based on market context and data scale.
Research Article
Open Access