The 2024 Government Work Report of China explicitly emphasizes the need to "vigorously promote the construction of a modern industrial system and accelerate the development of new quality productivity (NQP)," underscoring the critical importance of NQP in the current era. This paper assesses the development of the provincial digital economy across four dimensions: digital infrastructure, digital industrialisation, industrial digitalisation, and digital governance. Simultaneously, the development of provincial NQP is measured through three dimensions: technological innovation, industrial innovation, and factor innovation. Using the Kernel density estimation method, this study analyzes the dynamic evolution of NQP development in China from multiple perspectives. Additionally, a double fixed-effects model is employed to empirically examine the role of the digital economy in empowering NQP, and a random forest approach is applied to investigate the "non-linear spillover effect" of the digital economy on NQP development. The findings of this study are as follows: (ⅰ) The digital economy significantly advances NQP, primarily by promoting technological innovation, optimizing employment structures, and enhancing factor synergy, with digital industrialization being a key driver of this progress. (ⅱ) The digital economy exhibits a non-linear spillover effect on NQP development.
Research Article
Open Access